Concepedia

Quantitative Forecasting Models

Quantitative Forecasting Models is a formal analytical framework that employs mathematical and statistical techniques to predict future conflict events based on historical and empirical data, distinguished from qualitative approaches by its reliance on numerical data and algorithmic processing to generate systematic, replicable forecasts.

201

Publications

10.3K

Citations

566

Authors

318

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

65

Parents

Publications

201

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza

Jeffrey Shaman, Alicia Karspeck · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2012 · 440 citations · Full text

, , +17

Scale-Dependence of the Predictability of Precipitation from Continental Radar Images. Part I: Description of the Methodology

Urs Germann, Isztar Zawadzki · Monthly Weather Review · 2002 · 418 citations

, , +17

Ecological forecasting and data assimilation in a data-rich era

Yiqi Luo, Kiona Ogle, Colin Tucker et al. · Ecological Applications · 2011 · 343 citations

, , +17

Improving Quantitative Studies of International Conflict: A Conjecture

Nathaniel Beck, Gary King, Langche Zeng · American Political Science Review · 2000 · 258 citations

, , +12

Market Risk and Model Risk for a Financial Institution Writing Options

T. Clifton Green, Stephen Figlewski · The Journal of Finance · 1999 · 235 citations

, , +17

1–5 of 201

Authors

566

  1. HH
    Håvard Hegre

    Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway

    6 publications · 488 citations

    6

    h-index

  2. AG
    Andreas Graefe

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    6 publications · 228 citations

    6

    h-index

  3. MD
    Michael D. Ward

    Duke University, United States

    5 publications · 416 citations

    5

    h-index

  4. HM
    Håvard Mokleiv Nygård

    Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway

    4 publications · 436 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. JS
    J. Scott Armstrong

    University of Pennsylvania, United States

    4 publications · 73 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 566

Institutions

318

  1. Duke University

    Durham, United States

    6 h-index

    12 publications

    1.3K citations

  2. Peace Research Institute Oslo

    Oslo, Norway

    6 h-index

    11 publications

    913 citations

  3. University of Maryland, College Park

    College Park, United States

    5 h-index

    12 publications

    869 citations

  4. University of California San Diego

    San Diego, United States

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    870 citations

  5. New York University

    New York, United States

    5 h-index

    9 publications

    1K citations

  6. Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München

    Munich, Germany

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    207 citations

  7. Harvard University Press

    Cambridge, United States

    5 h-index

    13 publications

    718 citations

  8. Uppsala University

    Uppsala, Sweden

    4 h-index

    29 publications

    3.5K citations

1–8 of 318

Venues

  1. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 7 publications · 261 citations

    7

    h-index

  2. Journal of Peace Research

    5 publications · 407 citations

    5

    h-index

  3. Journal of Conflict Resolution

    5 publications · 319 citations

    5

    h-index

  4. Weather and Forecasting

    4 publications · 260 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. Grey Systems Theory and Application

    GS · 4 publications · 95 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5