Concepedia

Proper Scoring Rules

Proper Scoring Rules is a scoring function used to evaluate probabilistic forecasts that elicits honest and calibrated predictions by ensuring the expected score is minimized only when the predicted probability distribution matches the true distribution.

185

Publications

21.5K

Citations

344

Authors

208

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

49

Parents

Publications

185

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2007 · 5.5K citations

, , +16

Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness

Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 2007 · 1.7K citations

, , +16

Revising the SES: A Collaborative Process to Improve Assessment of Sexual Aggression and Victimization

Mary P. Koss, Antonia Abbey, Rebecca Campbell et al. · Psychology of Women Quarterly · 2007 · 1.3K citations · Full text

, , +12

Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations

Leonard J. Savage · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1971 · 1.2K citations

, , +17

The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters

Morris H. DeGroot, Stephen E. Fienberg · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D (The Statistician) · 1983 · 606 citations

, , +16

1–5 of 185

Authors

344

  1. RL
    Robert L. Winkler

    Duke University, United States

    8 publications · 799 citations

    8

    h-index

  2. AH
    Allan H. Murphy

    Oregon State University, United States

    7 publications · 721 citations

    7

    h-index

  3. TG
    Tilmann Gneiting

    University of Washington, United States

    6 publications · 7.4K citations

    6

    h-index

  4. TL
    Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

    Norwegian Computing Center, Norway

    4 publications · 244 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. FK
    Fabian Krüger

    Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany

    4 publications · 274 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 344

Institutions

208

  1. Duke University

    Durham, United States

    11 h-index

    13 publications

    525 citations

  2. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

    Karlsruhe, Germany

    6 h-index

    10 publications

    559 citations

  3. University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, United States

    5 h-index

    7 publications

    1.2K citations

  4. Harvard University Press

    Cambridge, United States

    5 h-index

    9 publications

    148 citations

  5. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    194 citations

  6. The University of Sydney

    Sydney, Australia

    4 h-index

    7 publications

    153 citations

  7. Microsoft Research (United Kingdom)

    Cambridge, United Kingdom

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    75 citations

  8. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    5K citations

1–8 of 208

Venues

  1. arXiv (Cornell University)

    Repository · 11 publications · 213 citations

    10

    h-index

  2. Decision Analysis

    8 publications · 475 citations

    8

    h-index

  3. Management Science

    6 publications · 343 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. Journal of applied meteorology

    5 publications · 1.1K citations

    5

    h-index

  5. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 4 publications · 63 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5