Concepedia

Probabilistic Cost Forecasting

Probabilistic Cost Forecasting is a cost forecasting method that quantifies uncertainty by predicting a range of possible cost outcomes along with their associated probabilities, distinguishing itself from deterministic approaches through its explicit representation of variability and risk in projected costs.

12

Publications

905

Citations

27

Authors

26

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

4

Parents

Publications

12

Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition

Rupert Way, Matthew C. Ives, Penny Mealy et al. · Joule · 2022 · 498 citations · Full text

, , +16

Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition

Jing Meng, Rupert Way, Elena Verdolini et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2021 · 89 citations · Full text

, , +17

Combination of Project Cost Forecasts in Earned Value Management

Byung-Cheol Kim, Kenneth F. Reinschmidt · Journal of Construction Engineering and Management · 2011 · 78 citations

, , +16

A tool for productivity and cost forecasting of decentralised wood chipping

Raffaele Spinelli, Natascia Magagnotti · Forest Policy and Economics · 2009 · 63 citations

, , +9

Homo Heuristicus: From Risk Management to Managing Uncertainty in Large-Scale Infrastructure Projects

Peter E.D. Love, Lavagnon A. Ika, Jeffrey K. Pinto · IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management · 2022 · 40 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 12

Authors

27

  1. RW
    Rupert Way

    University of Oxford, United Kingdom

    2 publications · 587 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. SD
    Seth D. Guikema

    Johns Hopkins University, United States

    1 publications · 27 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. RF
    Richard Fellows

    University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR China

    1 publications · 11 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. SZ
    Shaohua Zhang

    Shanghai University, China

    1 publications · 11 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. JD
    J. Doyne Farmer

    Santa Fe Institute, United States

    1 publications · 498 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5 of 27

Institutions

26

  1. University of Oxford

    Oxford, United Kingdom

    2 h-index

    5 publications

    2.1K citations

  2. Ohio University

    Athens, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    188 citations

  3. New College

    Swindon, United Kingdom

    2 h-index

    5 publications

    2.1K citations

  4. Universidad Rey Juan Carlos

    Madrid, Spain

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    64 citations

  5. INESC TEC

    Porto, Portugal

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    27 citations

  6. Research Triangle Park Foundation

    Durham, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    32 citations

  7. RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment

    Milan, Italy

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    89 citations

  8. Curtin University

    Perth, Australia

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    40 citations

1–8 of 26

Venues

  1. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management

    2 publications · 72 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. 1

    h-index

  3. 1

    h-index

  4. Construction Management and Economics

    1 publications · 11 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Forest Policy and Economics

    FPE · 1 publications · 63 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5