Concepedia

Mechanistic Forecasting

Mechanistic Forecasting is a computational modeling approach within epidemic forecasting that employs explicit representations of disease transmission dynamics and population interactions to simulate and predict outbreak trajectories based on underlying biological and behavioral mechanisms.

20

Publications

3.5K

Citations

64

Authors

31

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

12

Parents

Publications

20

Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology

Keith Beven, Jim Freer · Journal of Hydrology · 2001 · 2.2K citations

, , +17

Equation-free mechanistic ecosystem forecasting using empirical dynamic modeling

Hao Ye, Richard J. Beamish, Sarah M. Glaser et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2015 · 380 citations · Full text

, , +17

From cells to coastlines: how can we use physiology to forecast the impacts of climate change?

Brian Helmuth · Journal of Experimental Biology · 2009 · 214 citations

, , +16

Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data

Charles T. Perretti, Stephan B. Munch, George Sugihara · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2013 · 186 citations · Full text

, , +14

A machine learning methodology for real-time forecasting of the 2019-2020 COVID-19 outbreak using Internet searches, news alerts, and estimates from mechanistic models

Dianbo Liu, Leonardo Clemente, Canelle Poirier et al. · PubMed · 2020 · 102 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 20

Authors

64

  1. KB
    Keith Beven

    Lancaster University, United Kingdom

    3 publications · 2.3K citations

    3

    h-index

  2. SV
    Srinivasan Venkatramanan

    University of Virginia, United States

    2 publications · 48 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. LW
    Lijing Wang

    University of Virginia, United States

    2 publications · 48 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. MM
    Madhav Marathe

    Virginia Tech, United States

    2 publications · 48 citations

    2

    h-index

  5. JS
    Jeffrey Shaman

    Columbia University, United States

    2 publications · 132 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5 of 64

Institutions

31

  1. Lancaster University

    Lancaster, United Kingdom

    4 h-index

    8 publications

    4.6K citations

  2. University of Massachusetts Amherst

    Amherst Center, United States

    2 h-index

    6 publications

    129 citations

  3. University of California San Diego

    San Diego, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    946 citations

  4. University of Virginia

    Charlottesville, United States

    2 h-index

    16 publications

    384 citations

  5. Scripps Institution of Oceanography

    La Jolla, United States

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    1.1K citations

  6. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    2 h-index

    9 publications

    585 citations

  7. Universidade de Fortaleza

    Fortaleza, Brazil

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    207 citations

  8. Illinois State University

    Normal, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    23 citations

1–8 of 31

Venues

  1. medRxiv

    Repository · 2 publications · 45 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    PNAS · 2 publications · 566 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. Journal of The Royal Society Interface

    2 publications · 132 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. PubMed

    Repository · 1 publications · 102 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. 1

    h-index

1–5