Concepedia

Future Scenario Development

Future Scenario Development is a methodological framework within future studies that systematically constructs plausible, alternative future narratives by identifying key driving forces, uncertainties, and their interdependencies to inform strategic decision-making.

647

Publications

33.7K

Citations

2.4K

Authors

894

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

244

Parents

Publications

647

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

Brian C. O’Neill, Elmar Kriegler, Kristie L. Ebi et al. · Global Environmental Change · 2015 · 3.3K citations · Full text

, , +15

The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques

Peter Bishop, Andy Hines, Terry Collins · foresight · 2007 · 797 citations

, , +14

The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis

Rob Swart, Paul Raskin, John Robinson · Global Environmental Change · 2004 · 737 citations

, , +11

Modeling global water use for the 21st century: the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative and its approaches

Yoshihide Wada, Martina Flörke, Naota Hanasaki et al. · Geoscientific model development · 2016 · 635 citations · Full text

, , +15

The social and environmental complexities of extracting energy transition metals

Éléonore Lèbre, Martin Stringer, Kamila Svobodová et al. · Nature Communications · 2020 · 447 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 647

Authors

2.4K

  1. DP
    Detlef P. van Vuuren

    Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Netherlands

    6 publications · 4.1K citations

    6

    h-index

  2. KK
    Kasper Kok

    Wageningen University & Research, Netherlands

    6 publications · 4.2K citations

    6

    h-index

  3. GW
    George Wright

    University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom

    5 publications · 259 citations

    5

    h-index

  4. JV
    Joost Vervoort

    Utrecht University, Netherlands

    5 publications · 379 citations

    5

    h-index

  5. MR
    Mark Rounsevell

    University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 740 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 2.4K

Institutions

894

  1. Wageningen University & Research

    Wageningen, The Netherlands

    16 h-index

    36 publications

    5.9K citations

  2. Utrecht University

    Utrecht, The Netherlands

    13 h-index

    21 publications

    5.5K citations

  3. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

    The Hague, The Netherlands

    12 h-index

    17 publications

    5.7K citations

  4. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

    Laxenburg, Austria

    11 h-index

    21 publications

    9K citations

  5. Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Beijing, China

    10 h-index

    33 publications

    1.4K citations

  6. Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research

    Leipzig, Germany

    10 h-index

    26 publications

    2.2K citations

  7. University of Oxford

    Oxford, United Kingdom

    10 h-index

    16 publications

    1K citations

  8. University of Strathclyde

    Glasgow, United Kingdom

    9 h-index

    15 publications

    896 citations

1–8 of 894

Venues

  1. Futures

    40 publications · 1.7K citations

    24

    h-index

  2. Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    25 publications · 1.6K citations

    22

    h-index

  3. foresight

    29 publications · 1.7K citations

    17

    h-index

  4. Sustainability

    19 publications · 606 citations

    14

    h-index

  5. World Futures Review

    WFR · 9 publications · 210 citations

    9

    h-index

1–5