Concepedia

Conflict Forecasting

Conflict Forecasting is a predictive analytical framework within the field of peace and security studies that systematically identifies the likelihood, timing, and potential intensity of armed conflict through the application of quantitative models, qualitative indicators, or hybrid methodologies.

166

Publications

10.6K

Citations

326

Authors

189

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

60

Parents

Publications

166

Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa

Marshall Burke, Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2009 · 972 citations · Full text

, , +17

How and when armed conflicts end: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination dataset

Joakim Kreutz · Journal of Peace Research · 2010 · 617 citations

, , +15

The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts

Michael D. Ward, Brian Greenhill, Kristin M. Bakke · Journal of Peace Research · 2010 · 479 citations

, , +13

Conflict Probability Estimation for Free Flight

Russell A. Paielli, Heinz Erzberger · Journal of Guidance Control and Dynamics · 1997 · 387 citations · Full text

, , +12

A probabilistic approach to aircraft conflict detection

Maria Prandini, Jianghai Hu, John Lygeros et al. · IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems · 2000 · 288 citations

, , +13

1–5 of 166

Authors

326

  1. HH
    Håvard Hegre

    Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway

    8 publications · 689 citations

    8

    h-index

  2. MD
    Michael D. Ward

    Duke University, United States

    7 publications · 1.1K citations

    7

    h-index

  3. RB
    Robert Blair

    Brown University, United States

    6 publications · 190 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. KS
    Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

    University of Essex, United Kingdom

    5 publications · 397 citations

    5

    h-index

  5. HM
    Håvard Mokleiv Nygård

    Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway

    5 publications · 474 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5 of 326

Institutions

189

  1. Uppsala University

    Uppsala, Sweden

    12 h-index

    55 publications

    6.9K citations

  2. Peace Research Institute Oslo

    Oslo, Norway

    12 h-index

    20 publications

    1.6K citations

  3. University of Chicago

    Chicago, United States

    6 h-index

    13 publications

    399 citations

  4. Duke University

    Durham, United States

    6 h-index

    12 publications

    1.5K citations

  5. University of Minnesota

    Minneapolis, United States

    6 h-index

    6 publications

    508 citations

  6. George Washington University

    Washington, United States

    5 h-index

    5 publications

    528 citations

  7. The University of Texas at Dallas

    Richardson, United States

    5 h-index

    5 publications

    442 citations

  8. University of Essex

    Colchester, United Kingdom

    5 h-index

    7 publications

    305 citations

1–8 of 189

Venues

  1. Journal of Peace Research

    23 publications · 2.9K citations

    21

    h-index

  2. Journal of Conflict Resolution

    11 publications · 568 citations

    11

    h-index

  3. International Interactions

    8 publications · 151 citations

    8

    h-index

  4. Conflict Management and Peace Science

    CMPS · 6 publications · 391 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 5 publications · 87 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5