Seismic Risk Analysis of Subway Station Structures Combining the Epistemic Uncertainties from Both Seismic Hazard and Numerical Simulation

Abstract

To consider the influence of epistemic uncertainties in both seismic hazard and numerical simulation on seismic risk of subway station structures, the uncertainties mentioned above are uniformly characterized as the epistemic uncertainty of seismic demand of subway station structures from the perspective of uncertainty propagation in this paper. On this basis, the analytical formulations of seismic risk considering simultaneous aleatory and epistemic uncertainties are derived. The validity of the derived analytical formulations is verified by the Monte Carlo simulation and the influences of epistemic uncertainty on the seismic risk of subway station structure are further discussed.