Clinical Research in Cardiology · 2022 · 13 citations · 23 references
MedicineCardiologyInternal MedicineClinical EpidemiologyEpidemiologic MethodsEpidemiologyCardiovascular DiseaseCardiovascular EpidemiologyComparative Mortality AnalysisDisease Trend AnalysisIschemic Heart DiseasePandemic ResponseHospitalization ForecastingIn-hospital MortalityPandemic ForecastingPandemic Mortality
Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic led to extensive restrictions in Germany in 2020, including the postponement of elective interventions. We examined the impact on ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) as an acute and non-postponable disease. Methods Using German national records, all STEMI between 2017 and 2020 were identified. Using the number of STEMI cases between 2017 and 2019, we created a forecast for 2020 and compared it with the observed number of STEMI in 2020. Results From 2017 to 2020, 248,062 patients were treated for STEMI in Germany. Mean age was 65.21 years and 28.36% were female. When comparing forecasted and observed STEMI in 2020, a correlation can be seen: noticeable fewer STEMI were treated in those weeks respectively months with an increasing COVID-19 hospitalization rate (monthly percentage decrease in STEMI: March − 14.85%, April − 13.39%, November − 11.92%, December − 22.95%). At the same time, the crude in-hospital mortality after STEMI increased significantly at the peaks of the first and second waves (relative risk/RR of monthly in-hospital mortality: April RR = 1.11 [95% CI 1.02; 1.21], November RR = 1.13 [1.04; 1.24], December RR = 1.16 [1.06; 1.27]). Conclusion The COVID-19 pandemic led to a noticeable decrease in the number of STEMI interventions in Germany at the peaks of the first and second waves in 2020, corresponding to an increase in COVID-19 hospitalizations. At the same time, in-hospital mortality after STEMI increased significantly in these phases. Graphical abstract Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on STEMI numbers and in-hospital mortality in Germany. Relative difference between forecasted and observed STEMI numbers (above figure), the relative risk of in-hospital mortality (middle figure) as well as number of new hospital admissions for COVID-19 per million inhabitants according to Roser et al. 27 (bottom figure).
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COVID-19 pandemic and admission rates for and management of acute coronary syndromes in England
Marion Mafham, Enti Spata, Raph Goldacre et al. · The Lancet · 2020 · 747 citations · Full text