Development and validation of a weakly supervised deep learning framework to predict the status of molecular pathways and key mutations in colorectal cancer from routine histology images: a retrospective study

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Determining the status of molecular pathways and key mutations in colorectal cancer is crucial for optimal therapeutic decision making. We therefore aimed to develop a novel deep learning pipeline to predict the status of key molecular pathways and mutations from whole-slide images of haematoxylin and eosin-stained colorectal cancer slides as an alternative to current tests. METHODS: ). These scores were used to identify the top-ranked titles from each slide, and model 3 (HoVer-Net) segmented and classified the different types of cell nuclei in these tiles. We calculated the area under the convex hull of the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) as a model performance measure and compared our results with those of previously published methods. FINDINGS: that was similar to previously reported methods (0·60 [SD 0·04] vs 0·60). Mean AUROC for predicting CIMP-high status was 0·79 (SD 0·05). We found high proportions of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes and necrotic tumour cells to be associated with microsatellite instability, and high proportions of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes and a low proportion of necrotic tumour cells to be associated with hypermutation. INTERPRETATION: After large-scale validation, our proposed algorithm for predicting clinically important mutations and molecular pathways, such as microsatellite instability, in colorectal cancer could be used to stratify patients for targeted therapies with potentially lower costs and quicker turnaround times than sequencing-based or immunohistochemistry-based approaches. FUNDING: The UK Medical Research Council.