Nature Communications · 2021 · 77 citations · 40 references
MedicineGeneticsOncologyCancer EpidemiologyEpidemiologyProstate DiseaseCancer BiomarkersCancer RiskCancer Survival AnalysisGenitourinary Cancer EpidemiologyMalignant NeoplasmsProstate CancerDistant Nodal MetastasisGenetic Susceptibility To Prostate CancerPolygenic Hazard ScoresPolygenic Risk ScoringProstate Cancer DiagnosisProstate Cancer MortalityProstate Cancer PrognosisProstate Cancer Risk Stratification
Abstract Genetic models for cancer have been evaluated using almost exclusively European data, which could exacerbate health disparities. A polygenic hazard score (PHS 1 ) is associated with age at prostate cancer diagnosis and improves screening accuracy in Europeans. Here, we evaluate performance of PHS 2 (PHS 1 , adapted for OncoArray) in a multi-ethnic dataset of 80,491 men (49,916 cases, 30,575 controls). PHS 2 is associated with age at diagnosis of any and aggressive (Gleason score ≥ 7, stage T3-T4, PSA ≥ 10 ng/mL, or nodal/distant metastasis) cancer and prostate-cancer-specific death. Associations with cancer are significant within European (n = 71,856), Asian (n = 2,382), and African (n = 6,253) genetic ancestries (p < 10 −180 ). Comparing the 80 th /20 th PHS 2 percentiles, hazard ratios for prostate cancer, aggressive cancer, and prostate-cancer-specific death are 5.32, 5.88, and 5.68, respectively. Within European, Asian, and African ancestries, hazard ratios for prostate cancer are: 5.54, 4.49, and 2.54, respectively. PHS 2 risk-stratifies men for any, aggressive, and fatal prostate cancer in a multi-ethnic dataset.
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