Transparent modeling of influenza incidence: Big data or a single data point from psychological theory?

Another look at measures of forecast accuracy

Rob J. Hyndman, Anne B. Koehler · International Journal of Forecasting · 2006 · 5.3K citations

Computing, Mathematics, Meteorology +16

Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data

Jeremy Ginsberg, Matthew H. Mohebbi, Rajan Patel et al. · Nature · 2008 · 4.4K citations · Full text

Veterinary Medicine, Health Informatics, Infectious Diseases +14

Neural Networks and the Bias/Variance Dilemma

Stuart Geman, Elie Bienenstock, René Doursat · Neural Computation · 1992 · 3.6K citations

Computing, Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence +16

The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis

David Lazer, Ryan Kennedy, Gary King et al. · Science · 2014 · 2.5K citations · Full text

Computing, Data Science, Big Data Analytics +4

The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.

Robyn M. Dawes · American Psychologist · 1979 · 2K citations

Business, Biostatistics, Decision Analysis +16