A novel deterministic forecast model for the Covid-19 epidemic based on a single ordinary integro-differential equation

A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics

W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick · Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A Containing Papers of a Mathematical and Physical Character · 1927 · 12K citations · Full text

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The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases

Herbert W. Hethcote · SIAM Review · 2000 · 6.9K citations

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A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics

Anne Cori, Neil M. Ferguson, Christophe Fraser et al. · American Journal of Epidemiology · 2013 · 1.8K citations · Full text

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How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers

Jacco Wallinga, Marc Lipsitch · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · 2006 · 1.4K citations · Full text

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Different Epidemic Curves for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Reveal Similar Impacts of Control Measures

Jacco Wallinga · American Journal of Epidemiology · 2004 · 1.4K citations · Full text

Veterinary Medicine, Infectious Disease Control, Infectious Diseases +17