Domain Adaptive Multi-Modality Neural Attention Network for Financial Forecasting

Abstract

Financial time series analysis plays a central role in optimizing investment decision and hedging market risks. This is a challenging task as the problems are always accompanied by dual-level (i.e, data-level and task-level) heterogeneity. For instance, in stock price forecasting, a successful portfolio with bounded risks usually consists of a large number of stocks from diverse domains (e.g, utility, information technology, healthcare, etc.), and forecasting stocks in each domain can be treated as one task; within a portfolio, each stock is characterized by temporal data collected from multiple modalities (e.g, finance, weather, and news), which corresponds to the data-level heterogeneity. Furthermore, the finance industry follows highly regulated processes, which require prediction models to be interpretable, and the output results to meet compliance. Therefore, a natural research question is how to build a model that can achieve satisfactory performance on such multi-modality multi-task learning problems, while being able to provide comprehensive explanations for the end users.