Emerging infectious diseases · 2020 · 91 citations · 31 references
Veterinary MedicineInfectious Disease ControlInfectious DiseasesEpidemiologyInfectious Disease EpidemiologyVector-borne DiseasesDisease EpidemiologyMosquito-borne DiseasesSurveillance Data AnalysisTropical MedicineVector-borne Disease SurveillanceViral EpidemiologyCross-national Surveillance ComparisonsEpidemiology Of Tropical DiseasesMosquito Vector EcologyMosquito-borne Disease EpidemiologySouthwest MonsoonTropical Disease SurveillanceTropical Infectious DiseasesYoung Adulthood
In 2017, a dengue epidemic of unexpected magnitude occurred in Sri Lanka. A total of 186,101 suspected cases and 440 dengue-related deaths occurred. We conducted a comprehensive analysis of this epidemic by comparing national surveillance data for 2017 with data from the preceding 5 years. In all Sri Lanka districts, dengue incidence in 2017 increased significantly over incidence during the previous 5 years. Older schoolchildren and young adults were more clinically symptomatic than those at extremes of age. Limited virologic surveillance showed the dominant circulating variant was dengue virus type 2 cosmopolitan genotype in the most affected district. One quarter of total annual cases were reported 5 weeks after the southwest monsoon started. Changes in vector abundance were not predictive of the increased incidence. Direct government expenditures on dengue control activities in 2017 were US $12.7 million. The lessons learned from this outbreak are useful for other tropical nations facing increasing dengue incidence.
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The global distribution and burden of dengue
Samir Bhatt, Peter W. Gething, Oliver J. Brady et al. · Nature · 2013 · 10.2K citations · Full text
Public Health, Infectious Disease Control, Infectious Diseases +12
Distributed lag non‐linear models
Antonio Gasparrini, Ben Armstrong, Michael G. Kenward · Statistics in Medicine · 2010 · 2.5K citations · Full text