Finance research letters · 2019 · 201 citations · 22 references
Hong Kong EpuEconomicsVolatility ModelingNovember 2018International FinanceAsset PricingMacroeconomicsExchange Rate MovementBusinessExchange RateEconometricsExchange Rate VolatilityEconomic FluctuationEconomic Policy UncertaintyForeign Exchange MarketCurrency VolatilityFinance
The study examines how economic policy uncertainty affects China’s exchange‑rate volatility from 2001 to 2018. Quantile regression reveals that EPU drives China’s exchange‑rate volatility asymmetrically and heterogeneously, with significant positive effects across all quantiles and varying impacts from US, Europe, and Japan EPU, while Hong Kong EPU shows no significant correlation.
This study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on China's exchange rate volatility from December 2001 to November 2018. Using the quantile regression, our results show that the impact of EPU on exchange rate volatility in China exhibits asymmetry as well as heterogeneity in different markets. The EPU for China impacts positively and significantly on all quantiles volatilities of exchange rates. Furthermore, we observe that EPU has a mixed effect on exchange rate volatility with apparent economy-by-economy differences. The US, Europe and Japan EPU have significant impacts, while Hong Kong EPU is insignificantly correlated with exchange rate volatility.
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Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2016 · 11.2K citations · Full text
The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing
Stephen A. Ross · Journal of Economic Theory · 1976 · 7.1K citations