Long-Term Survival and Function After Stroke

Abstract

Background and Purpose— Longitudinal long-term prognostic data after stroke based on large cohorts are sparse. We report recent survival and functional outcome data on ischemic stroke (IS) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) for up to 5 years poststroke from the Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke). Methods— Beyond Riksstroke’s regular follow-up surveys at 3 and 12 months, additional surveys were conducted in 2016 on 2 one-year cohorts with stroke 3 and 5 years earlier. Functional dependency was defined as modified Rankin Scale ≥3. Mortality data of the original cohorts were obtained from the Swedish Causes of Death Register. Multiple imputation was used to estimate functional status in nonresponders. Results— The study included 22 929 patients, 87.5% with IS and 12.5% with ICH. Loss to follow-up in the 4 surveys was 12.8% to 21.2%. Thirty-day mortality was higher for ICH than for IS (30.7% versus 11.1%; P <0.01), whereas for 30-day survivors, 5-year mortality did not differ significantly ( P =0.858). Functional outcome was less favorable for ICH at all follow-up points. At 5 years, poor outcome (death or dependency) was 79% in ICH and 70.6% in IS (including imputed data; P <0.01). Favorable outcome was less common with increasing age and in patients with prestroke functional dependency. Conclusions— Despite advances in stroke care, long-term prognosis remains a cause for concern. At 5 years after stroke over 2 in 3 patients with IS, and over 3 in 4 patients with ICH, were dead or dependent. We present robust long-term prognostic data to serve as a reference for further development of healthcare and research in stroke.