Downscaling regional climate data to calculate the radiative index of dryness in complex terrain

Abstract

The radiative index of dryness (or aridity index) is a non-dimensional measure of the long-term balance between rainfall and net radiation. Quantifying aridity requires spatially distributed information on net radiation and rainfall. The variability in net radiation in complex terrain can be modelled at high spatial resolution by combining point data with equations that incorporate the effects of elevation, surface geometry and atmospheric attenuation of incoming radiation. At large spatial scales and over long time periods, however, the combination of seasonality, year to year variations and spatial variability in climate result in complex spatial-temporal patterns of incoming radiation, which are more effectively captured in satellite-based measurements. This study uses a high resolution model of shortwave radiation as a tool for downscaling satellite-derived data on incoming radiation. The aim was to incorporate topographic effects on net radiation in complex terrain while retaining information on regional and seasonal trends captured in satellite data. The method relies on satellite-based measures of incoming radiation from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) to provide the spatial coverage and long-term data that represent the average incoming radiation across the state of Victoria in southeast Australia. These long-term data were coupled with a topographic downscaling algorithm to produce estimates of net radiation and aridity at the resolution of a 20 m digital elevation model. Results show that annual precipitation (and cloud fraction) gradients drive the variability in aridity at large scales (10-100 km) while topography (e.g. slope aspect and slope angle) are the main drivers at small scales (e.g. 1 km). The aridity index varied between 0.24 and 10.95 across the state of Victoria. The effect of aridity on vegetation was apparent at local scales through systematic variations in tree-height along rainfall gradients and across aspects with different levels of exposure to solar radiation.