Review of International Political Economy · 2016 · 186 citations · 81 references
Social SciencesEconomicsPolitical ScienceMacroeconomicsMonetary EconomicsPolitical EconomyCentral BankingMonetary PolicyMonetary PoliticsMonetary SystemsCentral Bank CredibilityEuropean Central BankInflationary ExpansionMacroeconomic ConditionsMonetary Base ExpansionMonetary Policy LegitimacyQuantitative Easing Effects
Financial upheaval and unconventional monetary policies have made money a salient political issue, yet little is known about how central banks communicate with the public, creating a paradox between legitimacy and the folk theory of money. The study examines the under‑appreciated role of monetary trust in central bank legitimacy, a fragile issue now exposed by recent policy shifts. Under inflationary conditions, the Bundesbank and ECB reinforced the folk theory that money is directly controlled, whereas the Bank of England’s refutation amid deflationary pressures and rapid expansion indicates that monetary trust and legitimacy have fundamentally shifted.
Financial upheaval and unconventional monetary policies have made money a salient political issue. This provides a rare opportunity to study the under-appreciated role of monetary trust in the politics of central bank legitimacy which, for the first time in decades, appears fragile. While research on central bank communication with 'the markets' abounds, little is known about if and how central bankers speak to 'the people.' A closer look at the issue immediately reveals a paradox: while a central bank's legitimacy hinges on it being perceived as acting in line with the dominant folk theory of money, this theory accords poorly with how money actually works. How central banks cope with this ambiguity depends on the monetary situation. Using the Bundesbank and the European Central Bank as examples, this article shows that under inflationary macroeconomic conditions, central bankers willingly nourished the folk-theoretical notion of money as a quantity under the direct control of the central bank. By contrast, the Bank of England's recent refutation of the folk theory of money suggests that deflationary pressures and rapid monetary expansion have fundamentally altered the politics of monetary trust and central bank legitimacy.
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