Prediction of soil salinity in the Yellow River Delta using geographically weighted regression

Abstract

It is essential to determine the content and spatial distribution of soil salinity in a timely manner because soil salinization can cause land degradation on a regional scale. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a local regression method that can achieve the spatial extension of dependent variables based on the relationships between the dependent variables and environment variables and the spatial distances between the sample points and predicted locations. This study aimed to explore the feasibility of GWR in predicting soil salinity because the existing interpolation methods for soil salinity in the Yellow River Delta are still of low precision. Additionally, multiple linear regressions, cokriging and regression kriging were added to compare the accuracy of GWRs. The results showed that GWR predicted soil salinity with high accuracy. Furthermore, the accuracy was improved when compared to other methods. The root mean square error, correlation coefficient, regression coefficient and adjustment coefficients between the observed values and predicted values of the validation points were 0.31, 0.65, 0.57 and 0.42, respectively, which were better than that of other methods, indicating that GWR is an optimal method.