Predicting Falls and When to Intervene in Older People: A Multilevel Logistical Regression Model and Cost Analysis

Abstract

This model is the best performing falls predictive tool developed to date; it has been developed on a large UK city population; can be readily run from routine data; and can be implemented in a way that optimises the use of health service resources. Commissioners of health services should use this model to flag and refer patients at risk to their falls service and save resources.