Predicting the Present with Google Trends
Economic Record · 2012 · 2.3K citations · 28 references
Forecasting MethodologyEngineeringApplied EconometricsTrend PredictionTime Series EconometricsJournalismText MiningComputational Social ScienceEconomic ForecastingData ScienceSearch CostsEconomic IndicatorsEconomic AnalysisAutomobile SalesStatisticsEconomicsPredictive AnalyticsGoogle TrendsKnowledge DiscoveryForecastingWeb TrendSearch Engine DataBusinessEconometricsTrend Analysis
In this paper we show how to use search engine data to forecast near‐term values of economic indicators. Examples include automobile sales, unemployment claims, travel destination planning and consumer confidence.
28
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series
Charles R. Nelson, Charles R. Plosser · Journal of Monetary Economics · 1982
4.6K citations
Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data
Jeremy Ginsberg, Matthew H. Mohebbi, Rajan Patel et al. · Nature · 2008
Influenza EpidemicsInformation RetrievalDisease Surveillance+3
4.3K citations
APPROACHES FOR BAYESIAN VARIABLE SELECTION
Edward I. George, Robert E. McCulloch · 1997
1.2K citations
Digital Disease Detection — Harnessing the Web for Public Health Surveillance
John S. Brownstein, Clark C. Freifeld, Lawrence C. Madoff · New England Journal of Medicine · 2009
DiagnosisPublic Health PractitionersDigital Public Health+20
813 citations
Predicting consumer behavior with Web search
Sharad Goel, Jake M. Hofman, Sébastien Lahaie et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2010
637 citations