Alcoholism and the Patterning of Outcome: a multivariate analysis

Abstract

Summary This study takes a particular data set deriving from 10‐year follow‐up information on 68 male alcoholics as basis for exploring patterns of outcome in multivariate terms. A Principal Components Analysis demonstrates that degree of dependence is intrinsic to the patterning of outcome. The overall relationship between dependence and holistic outcome is a ‘Janus’ effect: high dependence may be related either to good or to bad outcome in different circumstances. When there is good outcome in terms simply of abstinence, dependence then further predicts within abstinent patients the overall quality of outcome which will be achieved. The need for a multivariate model is underlined.