Operations Research · 1994 · 244 citations · 53 references
BusinessDecision SciencesFinanceDecision AnalysisDecision AnalyticsDecision TheoryConsumer CreditCredit AnalysisCredit RiskCredit Risk AssessmentCredit ScoringDecision TreesCommercial Credit UnderwritingCredit Policy ModelingDynamic ModelsLinear Discriminant AnalysisLoan Delinquency ModelingQuantitative Credit ScoringStatistical Methods For ValidationUnderwriting Decision Making
Consumer and commercial credit decisions—such as extending credit, determining credit limits, initiating collections, and selecting actions—are supported by a variety of static and dynamic models. The authors aim to survey and evaluate the current state of credit management methods in theory and practice. The survey reviews static methods such as discriminant analysis, decision trees, and expert systems, and dynamic methods like dynamic programming, linear programming, and Markov chains, while also addressing practical aspects such as legal issues, data sources, and statistical validation. The authors conclude that the state of the art in credit management spans both theoretical and practical domains.
Many static and dynamic models have been used to assist decision making in the area of consumer and commercial credit. The decisions of interest include whether to extend credit, how much credit to extend, when collections on delinquent accounts should be initiated, and what action should be taken. We survey the use of discriminant analysis, decision trees, and expert systems for static decisions, and dynamic programming, linear programming, and Markov chains for dynamic decision models. Since these models do not operate in a vacuum, we discuss some important aspects of credit management in practice, e.g., legal considerations, sources of data, and statistical validation of the methodology. We provide our perspective on the state-of-the-art in theory and in practice.
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Classification and Regression Trees.
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