IEEE Transactions on Power Systems · 2012 · 28 citations · 13 references
AgricultureBusiness EconomicsEnergy EconomicsPricing StrategyRenewable Energy SystemsEnergy PricingReal Options AnalysisRenewable EnergyRenewable Energy EconomicsBinomial ExpressionsBinomial Tree PricingElectricity Market AnalysisForecast ValueGeneratorsLoad Balancing ServicesSecondary Market PricingSecondary Market Valuation
Wind and solar PV are the most mature forms of renewable energy and are integral to our clean energy strategy. Their intermittency poses technical and economic challenges. Technical challenges are load balancing, frequency regulation, etc. Economic challenges include providing least costing load balancing (reserves) services to these intermittent generators. This paper considers a future electricity market situation wherein wind generators are required to forecast and bid to supply energy. The future electricity market treats wind generators similar to conventional generators penalizing for underproduction and pays poorly for overproduction. An intra-day ( 24 h) secondary market is proposed in this paper where a wind generator and a reserve provider can bilaterally trade in reserves. Reserves are traded in the market by purchasing options to buy reserves at predetermined strike prices by paying premiums. These reserves include call and put options to address underproduction and overproduction. A binomial tree approach for estimating possible deviation from the forecast value is used. A new optimization formulation is proposed that uses binomial tree option pricing technique to determine optimal values of strike prices and premiums for call and put options. Two examples illustrate the benefits of the proposed idea.
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Option pricing: A simplified approach
John C. Cox, Stephen A. Ross, Mark Rubinstein · Journal of Financial Economics · 1979 · 6.2K citations
Mark Rubinstein · The Journal of Finance · 1994 · 1.7K citations
Richard J. Rendleman, Brit J. Bartter · The Journal of Finance · 1979 · 438 citations