Geophysical Research Letters · 2014 · 897 citations · 34 references
Natural SciencesHydrologySoil SciencesClimate ScienceClimatologyPaleoclimatologyDroughtPaleoclimate VariabilityPrecipitationPrecipitation ExtremesQuaternary Climate ChangeWater CycleDrought CharacterizationDrought OccurrenceDrought ReconstructionHistorical DroughtsNatural VariabilityTree-ring Precipitation Reconstruction
California experienced its most severe drought in the last century during 2012–2014. The study seeks to determine how unusual this drought event is. The authors used two paleoclimate reconstructions and tree‑ring chronologies to place the drought in a millennium‑scale context and assess precipitation variability. The drought is the most severe in the last 1200 years, with 2014’s moisture deficit exceeding all previous continuous dry spans, driven by reduced precipitation and record high temperatures.
Abstract For the past three years (2012–2014), California has experienced the most severe drought conditions in its last century. But how unusual is this event? Here we use two paleoclimate reconstructions of drought and precipitation for Central and Southern California to place this current event in the context of the last millennium. We demonstrate that while 3 year periods of persistent below‐average soil moisture are not uncommon, the current event is the most severe drought in the last 1200 years, with single year (2014) and accumulated moisture deficits worse than any previous continuous span of dry years. Tree ring chronologies extended through the 2014 growing season reveal that precipitation during the drought has been anomalously low but not outside the range of natural variability. The current California drought is exceptionally severe in the context of at least the last millennium and is driven by reduced though not unprecedented precipitation and record high temperatures.
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