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Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty

Cognitive ScienceStatistical ThinkingBehavioral Decision MakingExperimental PsychologyBiasImprecise ProbabilityManagementCognitionSocial SciencesJudgmental ForecastingCognitive Bias MitigationUncertain ReasoningDecision ScienceDecision TheoryIntuitionPsychologyBehavioral Economics