Sectoral foresight in Poland: thematic and methodological analysis

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to propose a qualitative framework to the analysis of the Polish foresight projects based on the grounded theory. The dimensions of the analysis are: type of industry, aims and expected results, stakeholders, geographical distribution, time frame and the research horizon, applied methods, budget and funding sources. The study is supplemented by the findings on the foresight projects’ impact on policy. Furthermore, the work sets the Polish sectoral foresights against the background of similar projects in other European countries. Based on the study the authors draw conclusions on the current and the potential future role of foresight studies in the development of the knowledge-based economy in Poland.