Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm

Equation of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines

N. Metropolis, Arianna W. Rosenbluth, M. N. Rosenbluth et al. · The Journal of Chemical Physics · 1953 · 37.1K citations

Computing, Computer Engineering, Computer Science +9

River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I — A discussion of principles

J.E. Nash, J. V. Sutcliffe · Journal of Hydrology · 1970 · 24K citations

Natural Resources, Hydrology, Water Resources Management +14

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control

Michael D. Geurts, George E. P. Box, Gwilym M. Jenkins · Journal of Marketing Research · 1977 · 19.3K citations

Computing, Data Science, Forecasting +11

The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction

K. Beven, Andrew Binley · Hydrological Processes · 1992 · 4.6K citations

Natural Resources, Earth Sciences, Hydrology +17

Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis.

Joseph B. Kadane, George E. P. Box, George C. Tiao · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1975 · 3.9K citations

Natural Sciences, Biostatistics, Mathematics +14