Is the Rapid Virologic Response a Positive Predictive Factor of Sustained Virologic Response in all Pretreatment Status Genotype 1 Hepatitis C Patients Treated With Peginterferon-α2b and Ribavirin?

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Currently it is not yet defined if the rapid virologic response (RVR) can predict a sustained virologic response (SVR) in relapsers and nonresponders. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate treatment-RVR as a predictive factor of SVR in genotype 1 hepatitis C treatment naive, relapsers, and nonresponder patients treated with pegylated interferon-alpha (PEG-IFN-alpha2b) and ribavirin. METHODS: One hundred sixty-seven genotype 1 hepatitis C patients who were treated with PEG-IFN-alpha2b and ribavirin and had SVR assessed were included. Hepatitis C virus RNA analysis at the fourth week of treatment was performed in all patients. The exclusion criteria were hepatitis B virus and/or HIV co-infection. A comparative analysis was performed between the groups with and without RVR and a logistic regression model was applied. RESULTS: One hundred sixty-seven patients were analyzed, 103 (62%) were naives, 22 (13%) relapsers, and 42 (25%) nonresponders. The SVR rates were 44% in naives, 68% in relapsers, and 12% in nonresponders. RVR was attained in 51/167 (31%) patients and in this group the SVR was higher than in those without RVR (75% vs. 23%; P<0.001). This difference was also observed in all subgroups: naives (71% vs. 29%; P=0.001), relapsers (92% vs. 40%; P=0.02), and nonresponders (50% vs. 8%; P=0.06). A stepwise logistic regression model identified RVR and absence of cirrhosis as the factors independently associated to SVR. CONCLUSIONS: RVR and absence of cirrhosis are the strongest predictive factors of SVR in HCV genotype 1 patients. Assessment of RVR is very useful in all pretreatment status patients in predicting SVR and provides information for individualizing therapy.