Predicting the DSM-V

Abstract

Using regression estimates based upon data about past editions of the DSM, we predict various features of the DSM-V. Included in these predictions are the date of publication, number of pages, total number of categories, number of categories defined using diagnostic criteria, total number of diagnostic criteria, color of the manual, who will be in charge of the task force that creates the DSM-V, and revenues generated by the DSM-V. This article ends with comments on the changes in the editions of the DSMs and an analogy to the Sorcerer's Apprentice.