Prediction market accuracy in the long run

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President

Ray C. Fair · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 1978 · 974 citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Political Science +10

Prediction Markets

Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2004 · 788 citations · Full text

Business, Economics, Finance +17

Anatomy of an Experimental Political Stock Market

Robert Forsythe, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann et al. · American Economic Review · 1992 · 551 citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Political Science +13

Bandwagon and Underdog Effects and the Possibility of Election Predictions

Herbert A. Simon · Public Opinion Quarterly · 1954 · 323 citations

Social Sciences, Political Science, American Politics +9

Wishes, expectations and actions: a survey on price formation in election stock markets

Robert Forsythe, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas W. Ross · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · 1999 · 291 citations

Social Sciences, Business Economics, Economics +11