Atmospheric circulation epochs and climate changes

Abstract

The atmospheric circulation studies allow climate changes to be diagnosed and forecasted. Variations in occurrence frequencies of the atmospheric circulation forms W, E, and C (by the Vangengeim classification) and Z, M 1, and M 2 (by the Girs classification), which characterize climatic conditions in most of the Northern Hemisphere, are analyzed over a period of more than 100 years. It is shown that the occurrence frequency of the forms W, C, and M 1 continually decreased, while that of the forms E and Z increased, which indicates a significant change in atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere during the last century. The occurrence frequency of the forms C and Z demonstrates specific features at inter-decade time scales. Correlations are found between accumulated sums of anomalies of occurrence frequencies of the atmospheric circulation forms C, (W + E), Z, and (M 1 + M 2) and inter-decade variations of the Earth’s rotation. The causes of these relationships are discussed along with possibilities of their use for diagnosis of climatic variations in the Northern Hemisphere.