The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature

G. S. Callendar

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 1938 · 857 citations · 0 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Fuel combustion has added roughly 150 000 million tons of CO₂ to the atmosphere over the past half century. The study aims to estimate the temperature increase caused by artificial CO₂ production using radiation absorption coefficients. It models sky radiation with CO₂ and water‑vapor absorption coefficients to calculate a mean temperature rise of 0.003 °C per year. About 75 % of the emitted CO₂ remains in the atmosphere, and the estimated present‑day temperature rise is 0.003 °C per year, while observed global temperatures have increased at 0.005 °C per year over the past half century.

Abstract

Abstract By fuel combustion man has added about 150,000 million tons of carbon dioxide to the air during the past half century. The author estimates from the best available data that approximately three quarters of this has remained in the atmosphere. The radiation absorption coefficients of carbon dioxide and water vapour are used to show the effect of carbon dioxide on “sky radiation.” From this the increase in mean temperature, due to the artificial production of carbon dioxide, is estimated to be at the rate of 0.003°C. per year at the present time. The temperature observations a t zoo meteorological stations are used to show that world temperatures have actually increased at an average rate of 0.005°C. per year during the past half century.