Review of Evaluation Criteria and Main Methods of Wind Power Forecasting

TLDR

Wind power is inherently random and uncontrollable, making its forecasting crucial for future power system planning. The paper aims to learn from European wind‑power forecasting successes and propose future development directions for China. It reviews WPF classification, summarizes evaluation criteria for uncertainty, and surveys the main forecasting methods.

Abstract

Wind power has characteristics of randomness and uncontrollability. China needs to learn from the successful experience of wind power prediction in European. Wind power forecasting (WPF) will be an important part of the power system construction in the future. Firstly, the classification of WPF is discussed according to the different classified methods. Secondly, the evaluation criteria about the uncertainty of WPF are summarized. Thirdly, we give a survey on the main methods of WPF. Finally, the development direction of WPF is proposed.