Unified weekly peak load forecasting for fast growing power system

Abstract

Forecasting demand and energy for power systems in developing countries is a difficult task; the difficulty stems from shortage of appropriate data and is also due to the high growth rate of both electric demand and load related variables. The paper presents a unified forecasting methodology based on the decomposition of weekly loads into several components for a fast-growing power system. The data have been treated in a different way from the conventional one to account for the dynamic load behaviour.