Latent Class Model Diagnosis

Elizabeth S. Garrett, Scott L. Zeger

Biometrics · 2000 · 283 citations · 33 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Latent class models are widely used in fields such as psychiatry and gerontology, but determining the appropriate number of classes is problematic because traditional tests like Pearson χ² and G² are invalid, information criteria lack diagnostic detail, and identifiability issues further complicate model selection. This study proposes procedures to assess Markov chain Monte Carlo convergence, diagnose latent class models, and select the number of latent categories based on data evidence. The authors employ MCMC techniques to evaluate convergence, identify model‑data discrepancies, and determine the optimal number of classes. Simulations and a psychiatric case study demonstrate that the proposed methods effectively diagnose model fit and select appropriate class numbers.

Abstract

In many areas of medical research, such as psychiatry and gerontology, latent class variables are used to classify individuals into disease categories, often with the intention of hierarchical modeling. Problems arise when it is not clear how many disease classes are appropriate, creating a need for model selection and diagnostic techniques. Previous work has shown that the Pearson chi 2 statistic and the log-likelihood ratio G2 statistic are not valid test statistics for evaluating latent class models. Other methods, such as information criteria, provide decision rules without providing explicit information about where discrepancies occur between a model and the data. Identifiability issues further complicate these problems. This paper develops procedures for assessing Markov chain Monte Carlo convergence and model diagnosis and for selecting the number of categories for the latent variable based on evidence in the data using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. Simulations and a psychiatric example are presented to demonstrate the effective use of these methods.

References

33