Influences on the appropriateness of confidence in judgment: Practice, effort, information, and decision-making

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

Glenn W. Brier · Monthly Weather Review · 1950 · 5.3K citations

Business, Mathematics, Meteorology +10

The illusion of control.

Ellen J. Langer · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · 1975 · 3.7K citations

Social Sciences, Behavioral Sciences, Psychology +7

The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.

Robyn M. Dawes · American Psychologist · 1979 · 2K citations

Business, Biostatistics, Decision Analysis +16

Linear models in decision making.

Robyn M. Dawes, Bernard M. Corrigan · Psychological Bulletin · 1974 · 1.9K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Decision Analysis +13