BAYESIAN PREDICTIVE APPROACH FOR INFERENCE ABOUT PROPORTIONS

Abstract

This paper investigates the Bayesian procedures for comparing proportions. These procedures are especially suitable for accepting (or rejecting) the equivalence of two population proportions. Furthermore the Bayesian predictive probabilities provide a natural and flexible tool in monitoring trials, especially for choosing a sample size and for conducting interim analyses. These methods are illustrated with two examples where antithrombotic treatments are administrated to prevent further occurrences of thromboses.