The Engineering Economist · 2004 · 15 citations · 23 references
ManagementDecision SciencesInformation TechnologyDecision AnalysisDecision MakingStrategic Decision-makingDecision Making In ProjectsOption PricingOption ValueProject ValuationReal Options AnalysisCompound OptionsFlexibilityInfrastructure Investment ValuationInvestment Decision AnalysisManagerial FlexibilityNet Present ValueReal Options ApproachReal Options Theory
This article presents a practical case application of the real options framework that addresses a multi-stage investment decision in Korean information technology infrastructure. Traditional net present value and Monte Carlo simulation are initially performed to ascertain a range of project values. The investment scenario is then viewed from a growth and compound options perspective in order to explicitly account for the project's irreversible capital expenditures, managerial flexibility, and uncertainty. Appropriate sensitivity analyses and discussion for each real options framework provide guidelines for improved decision-making. In general, it is shown that the real options approach identifies value overlooked by discounted cash flow techniques.
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The pricing of commodity contracts
Fischer Black · Journal of Financial Economics · 1976 · 2.9K citations
THE VALUE OF AN OPTION TO EXCHANGE ONE ASSET FOR ANOTHER
William Margrabe · The Journal of Finance · 1978 · 1.6K citations
The valuation of compound options
Robert Geske · Journal of Financial Economics · 1979 · 1.1K citations