Assessment of Freezing Time Prediction Methods

Abstract

ABSTRACT A systematic procedure for testing the accuracy of freezing time prediction methods is discussed. It involves carrying out freezing time predictions by an accurate numerical method as well as the method under test, and careful cross‐checking of prediction errors for correlation with a number of physical parameters. Criteria are given for selection of an appropriate numerical method. The need for systematic cross‐checking is illustrated by comparisons between four recent prediction methods. The comparisons show the strengths and weaknesses of the four methods. They also indicate general shortcomings in available methods and data, and so highlight those areas in which future research might be most profitable.