An empirical study of the effects of land supply and lease conditions on the housing market

Abstract

The aim of this research is to investigate the effects of land supply (LS) and lease conditions on the housing market. It tests whether there exists a relationship: between LS and housing price, between development conditions in government land leases and housing supply, and to what extent these development conditions affect Hong Kong's supply, of private residential flats. This paper focuses on examining the supply side of private housing in Hong Kong, whilst limiting the investigation on how LS and development conditions affect the supply of the private residential property market. The findings of this study bring additional knowledge on a different form of government control over the land market. First, an overview of Hong Kong's housing supply situation is presented. An understanding of Hong Kong's housing situation generates an underlying rationale for this study. In order to understand Hong Kong's land tenure system, Section 2 provides a brief background of the establishment of Hong Kong's leasehold tenure system. Section 3 develops the research framework within which to provide a global synopsis of literature (relating to the effects of leasehold land tenure system, governmental land regulation, development/land use control, and restricted LS on the housing market) and theoretical models for the analysis of LS and lease conditions. Following the analysis of findings, the concluding section presents recommendations for policy change.