Concepedia

Risk tables for less biased and more consistent estimation of probability of geological success (PoS) for segments with conventional oil and gas prospective resources

Alexei V. Milkov

Earth-Science Reviews · 2015 · 59 citations · 81 references

Concepts

EngineeringGeological EngineeringPetroleum EngineeringReservoir EngineeringRisk AnalysisRisk AssessmentEstimation ValidationGeological HazardsGeological Risk AssessmentResource EstimationRisk EvaluationExploration Success ProbabilityFailure Probability EstimationGeological Risk Analysis

References

81

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Toward a positive theory of consumer choice

Richard H. Thaler · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · 1980 · 5.6K citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Marketing +14

The affect heuristic in judgments of risks and benefits

Melissa L. Finucane, Ali Alhakami, Paul Slovic et al. · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · 2000 · 2.8K citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Social Psychology +15

Guidelines for Evaluating Petroleum Source Rock Using Programmed Pyrolysis

Kenneth E. Peters · AAPG Bulletin · 1986 · 2.5K citations

Natural Sciences, Earth Sciences, Petroleum Engineering +16

Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.

Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein · Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance · 1977 · 1.4K citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Social Psychology +17