Concepedia

Subjective Probability Judgments

Subjective Probability Judgments is a cognitive construct in risk perception under uncertainty that refers to an individual's personal, often non-expert assessment of the likelihood of an event, derived from intuitive reasoning, prior experiences, and contextual cues rather than objective statistical evidence.

921

Publications

102.8K

Citations

1.4K

Authors

665

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

95

Variants

Subjective Probability Judgement

Parents

Publications

921

An attributional theory of achievement motivation and emotion.

Bernard Weiner · Psychological Review · 1985 · 7.7K citations

, , +10

Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky · Cognitive Psychology · 1972 · 4.9K citations

, , +11

Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Psychological Review · 1983 · 4K citations

, , +14

Is the P300 component a manifestation of context updating?

Emanuel Donchin, Michael Coles · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · 1988 · 3.6K citations

, , +11

Games with Incomplete Information Played by “Bayesian” Players, I–III: Part I. The Basic Model

John C. Harsanyi · Management Science · 2004 · 2.2K citations

, , +16

1–5 of 921

Authors

1.4K

  1. KH
    Karl Halvor Teigen

    University of Oslo, Norway

    14 publications · 799 citations

    13

    h-index

  2. AT
    Amos Tversky

    Stanford University, United States

    13 publications · 12K citations

    13

    h-index

  3. RL
    Robert L. Winkler

    Duke University, United States

    12 publications · 2.7K citations

    12

    h-index

  4. DV
    David V. Budescu

    Fordham University, United States

    13 publications · 1.3K citations

    12

    h-index

  5. TS
    Thomas S. Wallsten

    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States

    15 publications · 1.3K citations

    12

    h-index

1–5 of 1.4K

Institutions

665

  1. Carnegie Mellon University

    Pittsburgh, United States

    21 h-index

    41 publications

    4.9K citations

  2. University of Michigan

    Ann Arbor, United States

    21 h-index

    34 publications

    3.1K citations

  3. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    16 h-index

    24 publications

    3.3K citations

  4. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    13 h-index

    18 publications

    7.1K citations

  5. Indiana University Bloomington

    Bloomington, United States

    13 h-index

    16 publications

    2.7K citations

  6. University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

    Urbana, United States

    13 h-index

    22 publications

    9K citations

  7. University of California, Los Angeles

    Los Angeles, United States

    12 h-index

    19 publications

    1.4K citations

  8. Columbia University

    New York, United States

    12 h-index

    16 publications

    692 citations

1–8 of 665

Venues

  1. Management Science

    35 publications · 9.2K citations

    27

    h-index

  2. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

    31 publications · 2.5K citations

    23

    h-index

  3. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

    30 publications · 2.9K citations

    23

    h-index

  4. Journal of the American Statistical Association

    21 publications · 4.7K citations

    20

    h-index

  5. 16

    h-index

1–5