Concepedia

Stochastic Population Forecasts

Stochastic Population Forecasts is a population forecasting method that incorporates probabilistic models to account for uncertainty in demographic components, distinguishing it from deterministic approaches by generating a range of possible future population trajectories through random variation in fertility, mortality, and migration rates.

62

Publications

6.5K

Citations

102

Authors

84

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

7

Variants

Probabilistic Population Forecasts

Parents

Publications

62

Forecasting the global burden of Alzheimer's disease

Ron Brookmeyer, Elizabeth M. Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler‐Graham et al. · Alzheimer s & Dementia · 2007 · 3.4K citations

, , +17

Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low

Ronald Lee, Shripad Tuljapurkar · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1994 · 267 citations

, , +16

Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population

Stéphanie Jenouvrier, Hal Caswell, Christophe Barbraud et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2009 · 242 citations · Full text

, , +17

Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration

Rob J. Hyndman, Heather Booth · International Journal of Forecasting · 2008 · 234 citations

, , +13

On Future Population

Nathan Keyfitz · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1972 · 172 citations

, , +12

1–5 of 62

Authors

102

  1. JM
    Juha M. Alho

    University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, United States

    7 publications · 352 citations

    7

    h-index

  2. RL
    Ronald Lee

    University of California, Berkeley, United States

    6 publications · 473 citations

    6

    h-index

  3. ST
    Shripad Tuljapurkar

    Stanford University, United States

    5 publications · 397 citations

    5

    h-index

  4. PV
    Patrizio Vanella

    Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Germany

    3 publications · 54 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. WL
    Wolfgang Lutz

    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria

    3 publications · 148 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 102

Institutions

84

  1. University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, United States

    5 h-index

    5 publications

    456 citations

  2. Stanford University

    Stanford, United States

    5 h-index

    6 publications

    413 citations

  3. Johns Hopkins University

    Baltimore, United States

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    6.8K citations

  4. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

    Laxenburg, Austria

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    123 citations

  5. Centre d'Etudes Biologiques de Chizé

    Beauvoir-sur-Niort, France

    2 h-index

    6 publications

    1.1K citations

  6. Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research

    Braunschweig, Germany

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    44 citations

  7. Sunesis (United States)

    South San Francisco, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    3.4K citations

  8. NOAA National Ice Center

    Suitland, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    504 citations

1–8 of 84

Venues

  1. 8

    h-index

  2. International Journal of Forecasting

    5 publications · 451 citations

    5

    h-index

  3. International Statistical Review

    4 publications · 134 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. Demography

    3 publications · 181 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. Journal of Official Statistics

    JOS · 3 publications · 91 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5