Concepedia

Recession Forecasting

Recession Forecasting is a methodological framework within economic forecasting that specifically identifies the probability, timing, and duration of economic contractions characterized by sustained declines in aggregate output, income, and employment.

377

Publications

19.2K

Citations

626

Authors

351

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

104

Parents

Publications

377

Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators

Arturo Estrella, Frederic S. Mishkin · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 1998 · 1.2K citations

, , +17

Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions

Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo, Nicolas Groshenny · Journal of Monetary Economics · 2014 · 508 citations

, , +16

The Recent Surge In Nurse Employment: Causes And Implications

Peter I. Buerhaus, David I. Auerbach, Douglas O. Staiger · Health Affairs · 2009 · 434 citations

, , +14

Predicting U.S. Recessions with Dynamic Binary Response Models

Heikki Kauppi, Pentti Saikkonen · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 2008 · 315 citations

, , +17

Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve

Glenn D. Rudebusch, John C. Williams · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 2009 · 303 citations

, , +17

1–5 of 377

Authors

626

  1. RG
    Rangan Gupta

    University of Pretoria, South Africa

    6 publications · 210 citations

    6

    h-index

  2. GD
    Glenn D. Rudebusch

    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, United States

    6 publications · 411 citations

    6

    h-index

  3. PL
    Prakash Loungani

    International Monetary Fund, United States

    6 publications · 306 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. JH
    James H. Stock

    Harvard University, United States

    6 publications · 253 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. MD
    Mathias Drehmann

    Bank for International Settlements, Switzerland

    5 publications · 119 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5 of 626

Institutions

351

  1. Federal Reserve

    Washington D.C., United States

    19 h-index

    48 publications

    2.5K citations

  2. Federal Reserve Board of Governors

    Washington D.C., United States

    17 h-index

    41 publications

    1.6K citations

  3. National Bureau of Economic Research

    Cambridge, United States

    13 h-index

    18 publications

    2.1K citations

  4. Federal Reserve Bank of New York

    New York, United States

    9 h-index

    16 publications

    1.9K citations

  5. International Monetary Fund

    Washington D.C., United States

    8 h-index

    10 publications

    425 citations

  6. University of Warwick

    Coventry, United Kingdom

    8 h-index

    9 publications

    756 citations

  7. Bank for International Settlements

    Basel, Switzerland

    7 h-index

    12 publications

    377 citations

  8. Bank of Italy

    Rome, Italy

    7 h-index

    17 publications

    717 citations

1–8 of 351

Venues

  1. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 57 publications · 2.1K citations

    26

    h-index

  2. International Journal of Forecasting

    17 publications · 1K citations

    15

    h-index

  3. Journal of Forecasting

    12 publications · 444 citations

    12

    h-index

  4. RePEc: Research Papers in Economics

    Repository · 13 publications · 252 citations

    11

    h-index

  5. Finance and Economics Discussion Series

    FEDS · 7 publications · 351 citations

    7

    h-index

1–5