Concepedia

Probabilistic Fiscal Forecasting

Probabilistic Fiscal Forecasting is a fiscal forecasting method that belongs to the class of quantitative prediction techniques and is distinguished by its incorporation of uncertainty through probability distributions to estimate future government revenue, expenditure, and deficit or surplus outcomes.

11

Publications

789

Citations

23

Authors

15

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

0

Parents

Publications

11

Improving fiscal policy in the EU: the case for independent forecasts

Lars Jonung, Martin Larch · Economic Policy · 2006 · 238 citations

, , +15

The political economy of EDP fiscal forecasts: An empirical assessment

Álvaro Piña, Nuno M. Venes · European Journal of Political Economy · 2011 · 133 citations

, , +16

Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC

Michael J. Artis, Massimiliano Marcellino · Econometrics Journal · 2001 · 127 citations · Full text

, , +17

Fiscal Forecasting: Lessons from the Literature and Challenges*

Teresa Leal, Javier J. Pérez, Mika Tujula et al. · Fiscal Studies · 2008 · 98 citations · Full text

, , +16

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

Joan Paredes, Javier J. Pérez, Gabriel Pérez‐Quirós · SSRN Electronic Journal · 2015 · 61 citations · Full text

, , +13

1–5 of 11

Authors

23

  1. JJ
    Javier J. Pérez

    Bank of Spain, Spain

    3 publications · 143 citations

    3

    h-index

  2. JV
    Jean‐Pierre Vidal

    Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, France

    2 publications · 111 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. TL
    Teresa Leal

    Bank of Spain, Spain

    2 publications · 111 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. LJ
    Lars Jonung

    Lund University, Sweden

    2 publications · 257 citations

    2

    h-index

  5. ML
    Martin Larch

    European Commission, Belgium

    2 publications · 257 citations

    2

    h-index

1–5 of 23

Institutions

15

  1. Bank of Spain

    Madrid, Spain

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    265 citations

  2. European Central Bank

    Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    217 citations

  3. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

    Brussels, Belgium

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    514 citations

  4. European Commission

    Brussels, Belgium

    2 h-index

    4 publications

    514 citations

  5. Universidad de Huelva

    Huelva, Spain

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    209 citations

  6. University of Castilla-La Mancha

    Ciudad Real, Spain

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    32 citations

  7. International Monetary Fund

    Washington D.C., United States

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    36 citations

  8. De Nederlandsche Bank

    Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    62 citations

1–8 of 15

Venues

  1. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 2 publications · 74 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. Journal of Policy Modeling

    1 publications · 32 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. Public Choice

    1 publications · 31 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. Econometrics Journal

    1 publications · 127 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Economic Policy

    1 publications · 238 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5