Concepedia

Predictability Limits

Predictability Limits is the theoretical upper bound on the temporal horizon beyond which accurate long-range forecasts cannot be reliably achieved due to inherent uncertainties and nonlinear dynamics in the system being modeled.

121

Publications

7.2K

Citations

352

Authors

193

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

37

Variants

Limits Of Predictability

Parents

Publications

121

The Optimal Growth of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

Cécile Penland, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh · Journal of Climate · 1995 · 869 citations · Full text

, , +17

Potential Predictability of the Madden–Julian Oscillation

Duane E. Waliser, K.-M. Lau, W. Stern et al. · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2003 · 319 citations · Full text

, , +17

What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?

Fuqing Zhang, Y. Qiang Sun, Linus Magnusson et al. · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · 2019 · 295 citations · Full text

, , +15

The recently recognized failure of predictability in Newtonian dynamics

Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A Mathematical and Physical Sciences · 1986 · 189 citations

, , +7

Roots of Ensemble Forecasting

John M. Lewis · Monthly Weather Review · 2005 · 188 citations

, , +14

1–5 of 121

Authors

352

  1. JL
    Jianping Li

    Chinese Academy of Sciences, China

    9 publications · 436 citations

    9

    h-index

  2. RD
    Ruiqiang Ding

    Chinese Academy of Sciences, China

    8 publications · 405 citations

    8

    h-index

  3. AK
    Arun Kumar

    NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction, United States

    4 publications · 183 citations

    4

    h-index

  4. FZ
    Fuqing Zhang

    Pennsylvania State University, United States

    4 publications · 609 citations

    4

    h-index

  5. BN
    B. N. Goswami

    Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India

    3 publications · 161 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 352

Institutions

193

  1. Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Beijing, China

    10 h-index

    19 publications

    884 citations

  2. Institute of Atmospheric Physics

    Beijing, China

    8 h-index

    17 publications

    758 citations

  3. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    7 h-index

    13 publications

    695 citations

  4. Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences

    Boulder, United States

    5 h-index

    8 publications

    2.2K citations

  5. Pennsylvania State University

    State College, United States

    5 h-index

    14 publications

    2.6K citations

  6. Pusan National University

    Busan, South Korea

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    190 citations

  7. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

    College Park, United States

    4 h-index

    6 publications

    241 citations

  8. University of Colorado Boulder

    Boulder, United States

    4 h-index

    6 publications

    2K citations

1–8 of 193

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    17 publications · 1K citations

    17

    h-index

  2. Geophysical Research Letters

    15 publications · 614 citations

    14

    h-index

  3. Journal of Climate

    9 publications · 1.4K citations

    9

    h-index

  4. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

    9 publications · 870 citations

    9

    h-index

  5. Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography

    5 publications · 158 citations

    5

    h-index

1–5