Concepedia

Forecast Trend Extrapolation

Forecast Trend Extrapolation is a quantitative forecasting method that projects future values based on the persistent direction and rate of change observed in historical time series data, distinguished by its reliance on the assumption that underlying trends will continue unchanged into the future.

29

Publications

1.1K

Citations

68

Authors

46

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

5

Parents

Publications

29

Judgmental extrapolation and the salience of change

Paul B. Andreassen, Stephen J. Kraus · Journal of Forecasting · 1990 · 211 citations

, , +17

Trends of reported human brucellosis cases in mainland China from 2007 to 2017: an exponential smoothing time series analysis

Peng Guan, Wei Wu, Desheng Huang · Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine · 2018 · 74 citations · Full text

, , +17

Quantitative Forecasting — The State of the Art: Extrapolative Models

Robert Fildes · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1979 · 70 citations

, , +13

Systems Simulation. Expectation formation in behavioral simulation models

John D. Sterman · Systems Research and Behavioral Science · 1987 · 66 citations

, , +12

Decomposition; a strategy for judgemental forecasting

R. H. Edmundson · Journal of Forecasting · 1990 · 55 citations

, , +12

1–5 of 29

Authors

68

  1. RF
    Robert Fildes

    Lancaster University, United Kingdom

    2 publications · 112 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. MM
    Ming Meng

    North China Electric Power University, China

    2 publications · 65 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. FC
    Fred Collopy

    Case Western Reserve University, United States

    2 publications · 46 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. JP
    Joseph P. Martino

    University of Dayton, United States

    1 publications · 52 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. CH
    Cars Hommes

    University of Amsterdam, Netherlands

    1 publications · 35 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5 of 68

Institutions

46

  1. North China Electric Power University

    Beijing, China

    3 h-index

    6 publications

    172 citations

  2. University of Pennsylvania

    Philadelphia, United States

    2 h-index

    2 publications

    46 citations

  3. Case Western Reserve University

    Cleveland, United States

    2 h-index

    3 publications

    82 citations

  4. Unilever (United Kingdom)

    London, United Kingdom

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    42 citations

  5. University of California San Diego

    San Diego, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    35 citations

  6. Harvard University

    Cambridge, United States

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    422 citations

  7. Ministry of Health

    Wellington, New Zealand

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    10 citations

  8. Hebei University

    Baoding, China

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    31 citations

1–8 of 46

Venues

  1. Journal of Forecasting

    4 publications · 318 citations

    4

    h-index

  2. Information Systems Research

    ISR · 2 publications · 48 citations

    2

    h-index

  3. Economic Systems Research

    2 publications · 60 citations

    2

    h-index

  4. European Journal of Operational Research

    1 publications · 25 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine

    1 publications · 74 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5