Concepedia

Forecast Distribution

Forecast Distribution is a probabilistic model that specifies the complete range of possible future outcomes and their associated probabilities, distinguishing itself from point forecasts by quantifying uncertainty through a structured assignment of likelihoods across the outcome space.

163

Publications

16.3K

Citations

370

Authors

233

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

43

Parents

Publications

163

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2007 · 5.5K citations

, , +16

Testing Density Forecasts, With Applications to Risk Management

Jeremy Berkowitz · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 2001 · 899 citations

, , +17

Neural Networks for Postprocessing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Stephan Rasp, Sebastian Lerch · Monthly Weather Review · 2018 · 519 citations · Full text

, , +17

A Method for Producing and Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts from Ensemble Model Integrations

J. G. Anderson · Journal of Climate · 1996 · 509 citations · Full text

, , +15

Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium

Dean P. Foster, Rakesh Vohra · Games and Economic Behavior · 1997 · 377 citations · Full text

, , +16

1–5 of 163

Authors

370

  1. KF
    Kenneth F. Wallis

    University of Warwick, United Kingdom

    5 publications · 550 citations

    5

    h-index

  2. FK
    Fabian Krüger

    Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany

    5 publications · 311 citations

    5

    h-index

  3. TD
    Timothy DelSole

    George Mason University, United States

    3 publications · 293 citations

    3

    h-index

  4. MP
    Michael P. Clements

    University of Warwick, United Kingdom

    3 publications · 119 citations

    3

    h-index

  5. AS
    Anthony S. Tay

    Singapore Management University, Singapore

    3 publications · 350 citations

    3

    h-index

1–5 of 370

Institutions

233

  1. University of Warwick

    Coventry, United Kingdom

    8 h-index

    10 publications

    952 citations

  2. Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies

    Heidelberg, Germany

    6 h-index

    10 publications

    1.4K citations

  3. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

    Karlsruhe, Germany

    5 h-index

    7 publications

    1.4K citations

  4. Federal Reserve Board of Governors

    Washington D.C., United States

    5 h-index

    5 publications

    68 citations

  5. University of Virginia

    Charlottesville, United States

    4 h-index

    7 publications

    450 citations

  6. University of California San Diego

    San Diego, United States

    4 h-index

    8 publications

    614 citations

  7. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    4 h-index

    5 publications

    407 citations

  8. Duke University

    Durham, United States

    3 h-index

    3 publications

    268 citations

1–8 of 233

Venues

  1. SSRN Electronic Journal

    Repository · 9 publications · 219 citations

    9

    h-index

  2. Journal of Forecasting

    8 publications · 616 citations

    8

    h-index

  3. International Journal of Forecasting

    8 publications · 475 citations

    8

    h-index

  4. Monthly Weather Review

    7 publications · 747 citations

    7

    h-index

  5. Weather and Forecasting

    6 publications · 221 citations

    6

    h-index

1–5