Concepedia

Ensemble Weather Forecasting

Ensemble Weather Forecasting is a probabilistic forecasting method that generates multiple simulations of atmospheric conditions using perturbed initial conditions or model formulations to quantify prediction uncertainty and improve forecast reliability.

2K

Publications

136.8K

Citations

4.3K

Authors

1.1K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

724

Parents

Publications

2K

Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles

Adrian E. Raftery, Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui et al. · Monthly Weather Review · 2005 · 2K citations · Full text

, , +17

The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation

Franco Molteni, Roberto Buizza, T. N. Palmer et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 1996 · 1.6K citations

, , +17

Ensemble Data Assimilation without Perturbed Observations

Jeffrey S. Whitaker, Thomas M. Hamill · Monthly Weather Review · 2002 · 1.6K citations

, , +17

Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems

Hans Hersbach · Weather and Forecasting · 2000 · 1.6K citations

, , +16

Adaptive Sampling with the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter. Part I: Theoretical Aspects

Craig H. Bishop, Brian J. Etherton, Sharanya J. Majumdar · Monthly Weather Review · 2001 · 1.4K citations

, , +16

1–5 of 2K

Authors

4.3K

  1. RB
    Roberto Buizza

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    50 publications · 8.6K citations

    37

    h-index

  2. TM
    Thomas M. Hamill

    NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, United States

    39 publications · 7.4K citations

    34

    h-index

  3. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    42 publications · 8.3K citations

    34

    h-index

  4. MX
    Ming Xue

    University of Oklahoma, United States

    33 publications · 2.3K citations

    26

    h-index

  5. DJ
    David J. Stensrud

    NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory, United States

    30 publications · 2.1K citations

    25

    h-index

1–5 of 4.3K

Institutions

1.1K

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    75 h-index

    463 publications

    58.6K citations

  2. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    54 h-index

    311 publications

    30.2K citations

  3. University of Oklahoma

    Norman, United States

    46 h-index

    309 publications

    18.6K citations

  4. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    45 h-index

    282 publications

    21.9K citations

  5. NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

    Boulder, United States

    43 h-index

    171 publications

    16.4K citations

  6. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

    College Park, United States

    39 h-index

    150 publications

    13K citations

  7. NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory

    Norman, United States

    38 h-index

    217 publications

    15.2K citations

  8. Météo-France

    Toulouse, France

    35 h-index

    113 publications

    8.5K citations

1–8 of 1.1K

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    385 publications · 36.5K citations

    90

    h-index

  2. 70

    h-index

  3. Weather and Forecasting

    206 publications · 11.6K citations

    52

    h-index

  4. Journal of Climate

    49 publications · 4.4K citations

    35

    h-index

  5. Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography

    65 publications · 3.9K citations

    31

    h-index

1–5